Type:
Bearish Continuation
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.2660
Pivot: 1.2622
Support: 1.2554
Preferred Case:
With price reversing off the ichimoku cloud resistance, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our support in line with the horizontal swing low support, 38.2% fibonacci retracement and 23.6% fibonacci retracement from our pivot in line with the horizontal swing high resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement .
Alternative Scenario:
Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st resistance in line with the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement . Take note of intermediary support at 3860.
Fundamentals:
Stocks have been under pressure since the start of the year as investors have dumped stocks amid worries over whether the Federal Reserve will be able to tame inflation without triggering a recession, with spillover effects from the war in Ukraine and the possibility of a slowdown in China from a rise in COVID-19 cases adding to the angst. Due to this, we currently have a bearish bias on the index.
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Desmond Leong runs an award-winning research firm (The Technical Analyst finalists 2018/19/20 for Best FX and Equity Research) advising banks, brokers and hedge funds. Backed by a team of CFA, CMT, CFTe accredited traders, he takes on the market daily using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.