BTC Volatility Kicks In

Following the historic break above the $100k mark earlier this week, Bitcoin prices are trading back below the level today after meeting strong selling interest at highs. BTC futures reversed sharply from highs around the $105 level and are now trading around the mid $98s. We noted earlier in the week that volatility is to be expected near-term given the profit taking likely to kick in on a break of $100k and year-end flows starting to materialise. However, the broader outlook remains firmly bullish for BTC with further advances likely in coming weeks and into next year.

Trump Trade

Optimism ahead of Trump taking office again in January has seen Bitcoin institutional demand soaring in recent weeks. With investors anticipating a much easier regulatory environment for crypto business, BTC is widely forecast to rally firmly over the start of next year. The uptick in institutional demand for BTC ETFs and BTC call options reflects this bullish outlook. While this dynamic remains in place, any dips look likely to find strong buying interest from bigger players and longer-term holder. Indeed, news that MicroStrategy has continued to make record BTC purchases in recent weeks is a good indication of the growing demand for BTC as an institutional play.

Technical Views

BTC

The rally in BTC has stalled for now into the $105 level with price since reversing back below the $100 mark and the prior 2024 highs. However, while still above 97,47 and the bull trend line, focus is on a continued move higher. Below there, however, focus turns to 93,58 as next support to watch.